Kenya’s two leading presidential candidates are banking on voter turnout in their respective regional strongholds to win the coveted prize. Final opinion polls show former Prime Minister Raila Odinga pulling ahead of Deputy President William Ruto, but a run-off — the first in the nation’s history — looms as a possibility. Which regions will determine the big race?
Kenyan law bars polling firms from publishing election surveys within five days of the vote. In keeping with the deadline, three leading Kenyan pollsters published results on 2 August and 3 August. Research firm Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) showed Raila ahead of Ruto with 49% support versus Ruto’s 41%— the widest gap for Raila in four months of polling.
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